Modeling diffusion of electrical appliances in the residential sector [electronic resource].
- Published
- Berkeley, Calif. : Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Environmental Energy Technologies Division, 2009.
Oak Ridge, Tenn. : Distributed by the Office of Scientific and Technical Information, U.S. Dept. of Energy. - Additional Creators
- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Environmental Energy Technologies Division, and United States. Department of Energy. Office of Scientific and Technical Information
Access Online
- Restrictions on Access
- Free-to-read Unrestricted online access
- Summary
- This paper presents a methodology for modeling residential appliance uptake as a function of root macroeconomic drivers. The analysis concentrates on four major energy end uses in the residential sector: refrigerators, washing machines, televisions and air conditioners. The model employs linear regression analysis to parameterize appliance ownership in terms of household income, urbanization and electrification rates according to a standard binary choice (logistic) function. The underlying household appliance ownership data are gathered from a variety of sources including energy consumption and more general standard of living surveys. These data span a wide range of countries, including many developing countries for which appliance ownership is currently low, but likely to grow significantly over the next decades as a result of economic development. The result is a 'global' parameterization of appliance ownership rates as a function of widely available macroeconomic variables for the four appliances studied, which provides a reliable basis for interpolation where data are not available, and forecasting of ownership rates on a global scale. The main value of this method is to form the foundation of bottom-up energy demand forecasts, project energy-related greenhouse gas emissions, and allow for the construction of detailed emissions mitigation scenarios.
- Report Numbers
- E 1.99:lbnl-3729e
lbnl-3729e - Other Subject(s)
- Air Conditioners
- Appliances
- Construction
- Developing Countries
- Diffusion
- Economic Development
- Energy Consumption
- Energy Demand
- Greenhouse Gases
- Households
- Income
- Interpolation
- Mitigation
- Refrigerators
- Regression Analysis
- Residential Sector
- Standard Of Living
- Washing
- Energy Demand Modeling
- Residential
- Appliances
- Refrigerators
- Washing Machines
- Televisions
- Air Conditioners
- Diffusion Rates
- Regression Analysis
- Note
- Published through SciTech Connect.
11/22/2009.
"lbnl-3729e"
Energy and Buildings 41 6 ISSN 0378-7788; ENEBDR FT
McNeil, Michael A.; Letschert, Virginie E. - Funding Information
- DE-AC02-05CH11231
View MARC record | catkey: 14072373