Delays in Reducing Waterborne and Water-related Infectious Diseases in China under Climate Change [electronic resource].
- Washington, D.C. : United States. Dept. of Energy, 2014.
Oak Ridge, Tenn. : Distributed by the Office of Scientific and Technical Information, U.S. Dept. of Energy
- Physical Description:
- pages 1,109-1,115 : digital, PDF file
- Additional Creators:
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (U.S.)
United States. Department of Energy
National Science Foundation (U.S.)
National Institutes of Health (U.S.)
United States. Department of Energy. Office of Scientific and Technical Information
- Despite China’s rapid progress improving water, sanitation and hygiene (WSH) infrastructure and access, in 2011, 471 million people lacked access to improved sanitation, and 401 million people lacked access to household piped water. Infectious diseases are sensitive to changes in climate, particularly temperature, and WSH conditions. To explore possible impacts of climate change on these diseases in China in 2020 and 2030, we coupled estimates of the temperature sensitivity of diarrheal disease and three vector-borne diseases, temperature projections from global climate models using four emissions pathways, WSH-infrastructure development scenarios and projected demographic changes. By 2030, the projected impacts would delay China’s historically rapid progress toward reducing the burden of WSH-attributable infectious disease by 8-85 months. This developmental delay provides a key summary measure of the impact of climate change in China, and in other societies undergoing rapid social, economic, and environmental change.
- Published through SciTech Connect.
Nature Climate Change 4 12 ISSN 1758-678X AM
Maggie Hodges; Jessica Belle; Elizabeth Carlton; Song Liang; Huazhong Li; Wei Luo; Matthew C. Freeman; Yang Liu; Yang Gao; Jeremy Hess; Justin V. Remais.
- Funding Information:
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