Actions for County-Level Climate Uncertainty for Risk Assessments [electronic resource] : Volume 21 Appendix T - Forecast Sea Ice Area Fraction

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County-Level Climate Uncertainty for Risk Assessments [electronic resource] : Volume 21 Appendix T - Forecast Sea Ice Area Fraction

Published
Washington, D.C. : United States. National Nuclear Security Administration, 2017.
Oak Ridge, Tenn. : Distributed by the Office of Scientific and Technical Information, U.S. Dept. of Energy
Physical Description
112 pages : digital, PDF file
Additional Creators
Sandia National Laboratories, United States. National Nuclear Security Administration, and United States. Department of Energy. Office of Scientific and Technical Information
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Summary
This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country- level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.
Report Numbers
E 1.99:sand2017-6221
sand2017-6221
Subject(s)
Note
Published through SciTech Connect.
06/01/2017.
"sand2017-6221"
"654424"
George A. Backus; Thomas Stephen Lowry; Shannon M. Jones; La Tonya Nicole Walker; Barry L. Roberts; Leonard A. Malczynski.
Funding Information
AC04-94AL85000
NA0003525
View MARC record | catkey: 23774434