Adapting to a changing Colorado River : making future water deliveries more reliable through robust management strategies / David G. Groves, Jordan R. Fischbach, Evan Bloom, Debra Knopman, Ryan Keefe
- Author:
- Groves, David G.
- Published:
- Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2013.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (xxvii, 70 pages) : illustrations (chiefly color), color maps
- Additional Creators:
- Fischbach, Jordan R., Bloom, Evan (Policy analyst), Knopman, Debra S., Keefe, Ryan, Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program (Rand Corporation), Rand Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment (Organization), Rand Corporation, and United States. Bureau of Reclamation
Access Online
- www.jstor.org , Open Access
- Language Note:
- English.
- Restrictions on Access:
- Open Access Unrestricted online access
- Contents:
- Introduction -- Long-term water planning and management under uncertainty -- Developing robust management strategies for the Colorado River Basin -- Future vulnerabilities to Colorado Basin water deliveries -- Reducing vulnerabilities through new management options -- Implementing a robust, adaptive strategy for the Colorado River Basin -- Appendix A: Vulnerability analysis example and additional results -- Appendix B: Basin study options included in the portfolios.
- Summary:
- "The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation and water management agencies representing the seven Colorado River Basin States initiated the Colorado River Basin Study in January 2010 to evaluate the resiliency of the Colorado River system over the next 50 years and compare different options for ensuring successful management of the river's resources. RAND was asked to join this Basin Study Team in January 2012 to help develop an analytic approach to identify key vulnerabilities in managing the Colorado River basin over the coming decades and to evaluate different options that could reduce this vulnerability. Using a quantitative approach for planning under uncertainty called Robust Decision Making (RDM), the RAND team assisted the Basin Study by: identifying future vulnerable conditions that could lead to imbalances that could cause the basin to be unable to meet its water delivery objectives; developing a computer-based tool to define 'portfolios' of management options reflecting different strategies for reducing basin imbalances; evaluating these portfolios across thousands of future scenarios to determine how much they could improve basin outcomes; and analyzing the results from the system simulations to identify key tradeoffs among the portfolios. This report describes RAND's contribution to the Basin Study, focusing on the methodologies used to identify vulnerabilities for Upper Basin and Lower Basin water supply reliability and compare portfolios of options. The report provides a useful resource for other planners wishing to replicate or expand on the methodologies used for other studies"--Back cover.
- Report Numbers:
- RAND/RR-242-BOR
- Subject(s):
- Climatic changes—Colorado River Watershed (Colo.-Mexico)
- Decision making—Colorado River Watershed (Colo.-Mexico)
- Uncertainty
- Water resources development—Colorado River Watershed (Colo.-Mexico)
- Water-supply—Colorado River Watershed (Colo.-Mexico)—Management
- SCIENCE—Earth Sciences—Meteorology & Climatology
- Climatic changes
- Decision making
- Water resources development
- Water-supply—Management
- Business & Economics
- Agricultural Economics
- North America—Colorado River Watershed
- ISBN:
- 9780833084811 (electronic bk.)
083308481X (electronic bk.)
0833081799
9780833081797 - Digital File Characteristics:
- text file PDF
- Note:
- "RAND Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program."
"The research described in this report was prepared for the United States Bureau of Reclamation and conducted in the Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program within RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment"--Title page verso. - Bibliography Note:
- Includes bibliographical references (pages 67-70).
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