Actions for Model documentation of the Short-Term Coal Analysis System. Volume 2. Model description. [SCOAL].

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Model documentation of the Short-Term Coal Analysis System. Volume 2. Model description. [SCOAL].

Published
United States : [publisher not identified], 1983
Springfield, Va.: National Technical Information Service, [approximately 1983]
Physical Description
microfiche : negative ; 11 x 15 cm

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Summary
This is the second of three volumes of documentation for the Short-Term Coal Analysis System (SCOAL) developed by the Coal Data Analysis and Forecasting Branch, Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric, and Alternate Fuels. The principal aim of SCOAL is to project on a quarterly basis the likely contribution of each of the 26 major bituminous coal, lignite, and anthracite producing states to total US production. A secondary objective is to estimate a companion demand-side aggregated by region but disaggregated by end-use sector. In its current use, the two sides are operated in tandem, and serve to cross-validate each other by means of tracking market balances. The purposes of this report are to describe the estimation method, results, and performance evaluation criteria that were deemed relevant in assessing the potential predictive performance of SCOAL's statistically fitted relationships and to discuss the pre- and post-estimation considerations that prevailed over the course of mode development. The single equation parameter estimates, associated significance levels, statistical equation performance measures, and general comments regarding SCOAL's supply and demand side equations are presented.
Report Numbers
DE83011478; DOE/EIA-0394-Vol.2
Other Subject(s)
Collection
NTIS collection.
Note
DOE contract number: AC01-81EI10775
OSTI Identifier 6269328
Research organization: JWK International Corp., Annandale, VA (USA).
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