Business planning for turbulent times : new methods for applying scenarios / edited by Rafael Ramírez, John W. Selsky and Kees van der Heijden
- Foreword / Vinee Cable -- 1. Introduction: Why Write This Book and for Whom? / Rafael Ramirez, Kees van der Heijden and John W. Selsky -- 2. Conceptual and Historical Overview / Rafael Ramirez, John W. Selsky and Kees van der Heijden -- 3. How Do Scenario Practices and Search Conferences Complement Each Other? / Jaime Jimenez -- 4. Reflecting on Scenario Practice: The Contribution of a Soft Systems Perspective / Trudi Lang and Lynn Allen -- 5. New Forms of Coherence for the Social Engagement of the Social Scientist: The Theory and Facilitation of Organizational Change from the Perspective of the Emery-Trist Systems Paradigm and the Ilya Prigogine School of Thought / Mary Bernard -- 6. Turbulence in the Indian Agricultural Sector: A Scenario Analysis / Kees van der Heijden -- 7. Swarm Planning: A New Design Paradigm Dealing with Long-Term Problems Associated with Turbulence / Rob E. Roggema -- 8. Designing More Effective Political Governance of Turbulent Fields: The Case of Healthcare / Niklas Arvidsson -- 9. To What Extent Do Venezuela's Causal Textures Allow Scenarios to Work towards Social Dialogue? / Martin Thomas -- 10. Managing Disruptive Change and Turbulence through Continuous Change Thinking and Scenarios / John W. Selsky and Joseph E. McCann -- 11. Scenarios that Provide Clarity in Addressing Turbulence / Rafael Ramirez -- 12. From Causal Textures to Predetermined Elements to New Realities in Scenario Thinking and Practice / George Burt -- 13. Conceptions of Fairness and Forming the Common Ground / Shirin Elahi -- 14. Turbulence and Corporate Social Responsibility: Is There a Role for Scenarios? / Andromache Athanasopoulou -- 15. Turbulence, Business Planning and the Unfolding Financial Crisis / Kees van der Heijden, Rafael Ramirez, John W. Selsky and Angela Wilkinson -- 16. Conclusion: The Conjuncture of Scenarios and Causal Textures - Contributions and Progress / John W. Selsky, Kees van der Heijden and Rafael Ramirez.
- "The world is increasingly turbulent and complex, awash with disruptions, tipping points and knock-on effects exemplified by the implosion of financial markets and economies around the globe." "This book is for business and organizational leaders who want and need to think through how best to deal with increasing turbulence, and with the complexity and uncertainty that come with it. The authors explain in clear language how future orientation and, specifically, modern scenario techniques help to address these conditions. They draw on examples from a wide variety of international settings and circumstances including large corporations, inter-governmental organizations, small firms and municipalities. Readers will be inspired to try out scenario approaches themselves to better address the turbulence that affects them and others with whom they work, live and do business."--BOOK JACKET.
- 9781849710602 (hardback)
- Bibliography Note:
- Includes bibliographical references and index.
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